It’s BOWL SEASON! It has been a wild and weird 2020 college football regular season with its share of ups and downs, but I’m grateful that the NCAA was able to get players on the field in a safe manner and we got a season in. Now we have our College Football Playoff teams, setting up what surely will be an exciting three games on the way to crowning our 2020-21 national champion.
For bowl season, I will be updating this page every few days with upcoming games so be sure to check back often. For the final week of the college football season, we went 3-3. Ideally, I would not have had two picks on the Ohio State game when 22 players ended up being ruled out the morning of the contest, but oh well. We finished the season a disappointing 29-41. Let’s hope for better fortunes in bowl season.
Without further ado, here are my first batch of NCAAF best bowl bets.
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College Football Best Bowl Bets
App State Mountaineers vs North Texas Mean Green OVER 65.5
It’s not often you see a team in a bowl game that has a losing record and has given up more than 40 points per game, but that’s what we get in 2020 with North Texas. The Mean Green finished with a 4-5 record and allowed a whopping 41.3 points per game while scoring 35.1. Meanwhile, App State wasn’t as impressive offensively, averaging 31.8 ppg, but it was far superior defensively, surrendering 19.3 ppg.
I look for Mountaineers sophomore running back Camerun Peoples to run wild in this game as North Texas gives up an average of 243.6 rushing yards per game. As for the Mean Green, they keep defenses on their heels with a balanced attack through the air and on the ground that should have success in this matchup. Hold on to your hats, points should come fast and furious in this one.
Tulane Green Wave -3 vs Nevada Wolf Pack
Two teams trending in opposite directions will duke it out in this one. Nevada opened its season 5-0 but has dropped two of its last three, including a 30-20 defeat to Mountain West champion San Jose State. Tulane, on the other hand, dropped four of its first six games but won four of its final five, falling only to Tulsa, which played in the AAC title game.
Personally, I think the AAC is a more competitive conference than the Mountain West, so the stats are a little misleading. That said, the Green Wave secondary will have its hands full with Wolf Pack QB Carson Strong, who finished the regular season with 2,587 passing yards and 22 touchdowns to just four interceptions. I just don’t think that Nevada will slow down a Tulane offense that is well-balanced with an emphasis on the run game.
UCF Knights vs BYU Cougars UNDER 72.5
Two teams that finished in the top 10 in points scored this season and I like the UNDER (is there Baileys in this coffee I’m drinking?). Central Florida averaged 44.3 points per game and BYU racked up 43, with both aerial attacks putting up north of 300 passing yards per game. This will be a high-scoring affair for sure: Dillon Gabriel (UCF) and Zach Wilson (BYU) combined for 60 touchdowns to just seven interceptions this year.
All that said, it is the Cougars defense that I think will give us the UNDER. BYU allowed an average of 14.6 points per game while yielding fewer than 200 passing yards per game. The big worry is the Knights defense – which gives 31.4 points per game, including almost 300 passing yards – could perhaps let BYU put up 50 points. Overall, 72 points is a sharp total; this game will have more than 60 but I think we will fall short of 72 as the clock will be running with all the completed passes.