ATP Finals Betting Preview: Dominic Thiem vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas – Sunday, Nov 15, 2020

The 2020 ATP Finals are set to take place from 15 to 22 November at the O2 Arena in London, United Kingdom, and they will be the 51st edition of the tournament. This is the final year that London will host the season-ending event as Turin, Italy, will be the venue for the next five years (2021-25).

Unlike many other tennis competitions, unbelievably, no one of the Big Three has triumphed at the ATP finals since Novak Djokovic’s fourth successful title in 2015.

Dominic Thiem and Stefanos Tsitsipas were drawn alongside Rafael Nadal and debutant Andrey Rublev in Group London 2020.

Rafael Nadal is a +150 favorite to become the Group London Winner but third to win the title with odds of +500 at BetOnline. However, considering Nadal’s ability and his background, the clash between defending champion Stefanos Tsitsipas and Dominic Thiem could actually be decisive for the second qualifying spot in the group and the stake is huge.

In fact, looking at the odds available at BetOnline, Stefanos Tsitsipas was among the three debutants in 2019 and he managed to beat the odds in 2019, and you can get a pretty lucrative value of +1200 on the Greek.

Dominic Thiem’s chances to build on his US Open performance and carry the day in London are rated at +800 with BetOnline, while his chances to win Group London are at +225 – second behind Nadal.

The Austrian will also seek redemption for his defeat in last year’s final, which actually was the last competitive meeting between Thiem and Tsitsipas.

All in all, Thiem holds a 4-3 lead over his Greek counterpart and the overall balance is pretty much the same on the two surfaces they’ve already played – 1-1 on clay and 3-2 in Thiem’s favor on hard-courts.

However, Tsitsipas would be inspired by his comeback victory in the 2019 ATP finals showdown – arguably their most important meeting so far – while Thiem also mounted a comeback to eventually prevail in the 2019 China Open a few weeks earlier.

Dominic Thiem (No. 3) has recovered from a foot injury and will fly to London where the US Open Champion will hope to build on his last year’s ATP finals performance, when the Austrian lost the final in three sets to Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Coming off a remarkable performance to reach the semi-finals at the rescheduled French Open, defending champion Stefanos Tsitsipas of Greece will have a tricky task to defend his title in London as the Greek is neither a debutant nor a dark horse this time. Instead, Tsitsipas is progressing more and more under Patrick Mouratoglou’s guidance and will be keen to perform well in the final competition of the year.

Spooky Express Betting Prediction

Dominic Thiem is a slight -118 favorite to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas, whose odds of -102 represent a decent value, considering his strong performance of late and that he’s the reigning champion in London though.

Thiem just comes back after an injury and even though he wasn’t off the court for a long period, any break could be unproductive especially during an inconclusive and unprecedented tennis season.

Tsitsipas, on the other hand, gained momentum to reach the French Open semi-finals and even though he dropped some of it over the last few weeks, he has proven to be an even stronger version of himself.

With that said, we expect a close matchup in the 2020 ATP Finals opener and we bet on Over 24 Games between Thiem and Tsitsipas.

Spooky Express Free Play: Over 24 Games -118 @ BetOnline for 6/10 Units

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